Skywarn

Georgia ARES monthly report for May, 2014

by on Jun.03, 2014, under ARES / RACES, CERT, Club Information, Skywarn

Reported by:  Clayton/Henry County EC, Roy Baker, AJ4GT

Total number of ARES members in your group is: 39
Change since last month:
Name of your Local ARES Net: SCARC/CARES
Net Frequency: 444.875      PL  100 
Day of the week:  Monday 
Time of the Net: 9 PM lOCAL 
Total of Nets this month: 4
NTS Liaison: ARES/GTEN/MARS 
Drills, Tests and Training sessions:
Drills, Tests and Training Man Hours: 21
Public Service Events: 0
Public Service Man Hours: 0
Emergency Operations: 1
Emergency Operations Man Hours: 0
Misc Activities: 2
Misc man hours: 2
TOTAL ARES OPERATIONS: 9
TOTAL ARES MAN HOURS: 23
Comments: Four weekly training nets and one SKYWARN weather net. General monthly meeting was held at the Henry Piedmont Hospital. A day for training and fixing the Hospitals radio station. Next month we are doing more training there as well. July we will again start meeting at the Henry County EOC again.


NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

by on Jun.01, 2014, under ARES / RACES, CERT, Club Information, Skywarn, Weather

 

ABNT20 KNHC 010535 TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUN 1 2014

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche extends northeastward into the south-central Gulf of Mexico. Although shower activity is currently disorganized, some slow
development of this nearly stationary disturbance will be possible over the next several days as environmental conditions become marginally conducive.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which will run until November 30.  Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
respectively.

The list of names for 2014 is as follows:

Name           Pronunciation               Name            Pronunciation
————————————————————-
Arthur          AR-thur                        Laura           LOOR-ruh
Bertha           BUR-thuh                   Marco           MAR-koe
Cristoabl      krees-TOH-bahl         Nana            NA-na
Dolly              DAH-lee                     Omar            OH-mar
Edouard        eh-DWARD               Paulette       pawl-LET
Fay                 fay                        Rene              re-NAY
Gonzalo        gohn-SAH-loh           Sally              SAL-ee
Hanna          HAN-uh                      Teddy           TEHD-ee
Isaias            ees-ah-EE-ahs           Vicky             VIH-kee
Josephine    JOH-seh-feen           Wilfred         WILL-fred
Kyle               KY-ull

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.  The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT.  After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook.  Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory, the Forecast/Advisory, the Tropical Cyclone Discussion, and the Wind Speed Probabilities, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones.  In addition, a Special Advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel watches or warnings.  It is used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package.  The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used to provide a continuous flow of information regarding the center location of a tropical cyclone when watches or warnings are in effect and the center can be easily tracked with land-based radar.  Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are available on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC . Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued.  Information about our Atlantic Twitter feed is available at http://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Heavy Rain-Severe WX Forecast

by on Apr.28, 2014, under ARES / RACES, Club Information, Skywarn, Weather

Good Evening,Confidence has increased that the pattern over the coming days will be favorable for heavy rain and severe thunderstorms.Discussion:  A slow-moving cold front will continue approaching the area from the west through the next few days. Because the movement of this system will be quite slow, heavy rainfall remains a distinct concern.  In addition, the environment will be supportive of an extended severe thunderstorm threat.WHERE: Heavy rainfall amounts are possible area wide, with the highest accumulations generally along on north of the I-85 corridor. The severe weather potential will increase across northwest Georgia Monday evening and spread south and east on Tuesday. While the threat level is less certain, the potential for some severe thunderstorms will likely exist across portions of central Georgia on Wednesday.WHAT: Heavy rainfall may cause flooding given the slow system movement. Forecast rainfall amounts will likely cause minor flooding of many streams and rivers. There is also the risk for flash flooding in thunderstorms where heavy rainfall occurs in a short period of time.Strong to severe thunderstorms will also likely occur during this period. Hail, high winds, and tornadoes will all be possible—especially during the Monday night through Tuesday time frame.

WHEN: Monday night through Thursday. The severe weather threat will ramp up Monday night across northwest Georgia, increasing across the rest of north and west central Georgia from Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon.  The cold front will push into the state on Wednesday, pushing the heavy rain and severe potential eastward. Rain and storms should push east of the entire area by Friday.

HOW MUCH:
Rainfall: Due to the multi-day nature of this event, many areas will see 2 – 4″ rainfall totals, with isolated higher amounts possible. A Flood Watch has been issued for the entire area from midnight Tuesday until 2 AM on Thursday to highlight this hazard. Refer to the forecast rainfall map at the end of this email for further information on where the highest amounts are expected. Again, these amounts will likely cause minor river and stream flooding as well as some flash flooding issues.

Severe thunderstorms: Severe thunderstorms with hail, high winds, and some tornadoes will occur during this time frame.  The attached graphic gives our best estimate for locations of greatest severe potential through the period, but do not focus on exact areas as they will likely change as we refine the forecast.  Future email updates will refine this threat as more concrete information becomes available.

CONFIDENCE: The confidence level for heavy rainfall amounts and severe weather is high. Exact timing and threats will continue to be updated as the event approaches.

Ryan Willis
Meteorologist
National Weather Service  Atlanta/Peachtree City, GA

Rainfall Amt Forecast


Clayton/Henry County working Frequencies –

by on Jul.02, 2013, under ARES / RACES, CERT, Club Information, Documents, Skywarn, Training


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Frequency (PL Tone)

Description

146.170- (146.2)

KJ4KPY repeater. Clayton County operations if unlinked.

145.170- (146.2)

KI4FVI repeater. Henry County operations if unlinked.

444.875+ (100.0)

KE4UAS repeater. Henry County EOC, Main tactical repeater.

443.225+

D-Star repeater. operational

145.170

Club VHF simplex frequency. (where no repeater/or repeater down)

146.505

CARE Simplex ( on station work freq)

146.670

Club VHF D-Star simplex frequency.

446.250

Club UHF simplex frequency.

441.025

Club UHF D-star simplex frequency.

146.520

VHF national calling frequency.

446.000

UHF national calling frequency.

7.275

Auxiliary Georgia ARES/RACES net.

444.600+ (77.0)

National Weather Service SKYWARN link.

146.550

Data channel/metro wide

Metro Atlanta is picking a simplex frequency

146.505

Georgia ARES Simplex

zp8497586rq

CHRIS BEGINS TO WEAKEN

by on Jun.21, 2012, under ARES / RACES, Skywarn, Weather

WTNT33 KNHC 212033  TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012
500 PM AST THU JUN 21 2012

CHRIS BEGINS TO WEAKEN…NOW A TROPICAL STORM

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————-
LOCATION…42.4N 42.9W
ABOUT 585 MI…940 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.23 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS ——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK   ——————————
AT 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST. CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH…22 KM/H. CHRIS IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. AFTERWARD…A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES…110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB…29.23 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ———————-
NONE

NEXT ADVISORY ————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM AST.

FORECASTER ROBERTS


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